Which company has best AI model end of June?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard ( when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026 98%
- Largest 24h move
- Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026 +0%
- 24h volume
- 796K
- Liquidity
- 3.4M
Top candidates
15 outcomes
Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
98%
+0% 24h
Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
1%
-0% 24h
OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
1%
0% 24h
Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0% 24h
DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard ( when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Read the complete resolution rules
If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at.
If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026 probability of 100%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline