activeCrypto+3% 24h

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index between January 26, 2026, 11:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title.

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Current leader
No 62%
Leader 24h
+3%
Volume
201
Liquidity
432.6

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

62%

+3% 24h

Yes

38%

-2% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index between January 26, 2026, 11:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "Low" values available at, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Odds chart

Probability over time

Odds chart showing latest No probability of 88%.

Story so far

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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

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Source trail

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