What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Current leader
- 15 Gwei before 2027 12%
- Largest 24h move
- 25 Gwei before 2027 -8%
- 24h volume
- 429.5
- Liquidity
- 4.5K
Top candidates
6 outcomes
15 Gwei before 2027
12%
+0% 24h
5 Gwei before 2027
9%
-4% 24h
25 Gwei before 2027
8%
-8% 24h
10 Gwei before 2027
6%
-1% 24h
20 Gwei before 2027
4%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
40 Gwei before 2027
2%
+0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold.
A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest 15 Gwei before 2027 probability of 12%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027 moved higher from 2.9% to 8.2% (+5.3 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:22.263Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.263Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027" outcome in "What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?" made a sharp move from 2.9% to 8.2% between 2026-06-23T19:22:22.263Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.263Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +5.3 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.