What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Current leader
- $2M before 2027 41%
- Largest 24h move
- $2M before 2027 -43%
- 24h volume
- 69.9
- Liquidity
- 2.4K
Top candidates
5 outcomes
$2M before 2027
41%
-43% 24h
$1M before 2027
12%
0% 24h
$3M before 2027
6%
0% 24h
$5M before 2027
4%
-0% 24h
$4M before 2027
3%
-0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest $2M before 2027 probability of 6%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027 moved higher from 33.5% to 41.0% (+7.5 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:22.254Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.254Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027" outcome in "What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?" made a sharp move from 33.5% to 41.0% between 2026-06-23T19:22:22.254Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.254Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +7.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.