VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Current leader
- No 90%
- Leader 24h
- +30%
- 24h volume
- 191
- Liquidity
- 27.5
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
90%
+30% 24h
Yes
11%
-30% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 97%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
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Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline