Venezuela leader end of 2026?
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Nicolás Maduro 79%
- Largest 24h move
- Nicolás Maduro +3%
- 24h volume
- 134.2K
- Liquidity
- 1.7M
Top candidates
16 outcomes
Nicolás Maduro
79%
+3% 24h
Delcy Rodríguez
14%
-1% 24h
María Corina Machado
4%
-1% 24h
there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026
1%
-0% 24h
Edmundo González
1%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
+0%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0%
+0%
Donald Trump
0%
0%
Dinorah Figuera
0%
0%
Vladimir Padrino López
0%
0%
Evan Pettus
0%
0%
Marco Rubio
0%
0%
Pete Hegseth
0%
0%
Frank Donovan
0%
0%
Richard Grenell
0%
0%
Dan Caine
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves No
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
Read the complete resolution rules
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see:. In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Nicolás Maduro probability of 80%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline