Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Current leader
- $100M one day after launch 95%
- Largest 24h move
- $1B one day after launch +3%
- 24h volume
- 1.5K
- Liquidity
- 153.7K
Top candidates
10 outcomes
$100M one day after launch
95%
+0% 24h
$200M one day after launch
94%
+2% 24h
$300M one day after launch
87%
0% 24h
$500M one day after launch
67%
0% 24h
$800M one day after launch
36%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
$1B one day after launch
28%
+3%
$4B one day after launch
8%
+2%
$2B one day after launch
8%
+0%
$3B one day after launch
7%
-0%
$5B one day after launch
2%
-0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest $100M one day after launch probability of 97%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline