activePolitics-0% 24h

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

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Current leader
No 90%
Leader 24h
-0%
24h volume
90.3
Liquidity
27.5K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

90%

-0% 24h

Yes

10%

+1% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Resolves No

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur.

Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.

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Odds chart showing latest No probability of 94%.

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