Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Current leader
- $400M one day after launch 53%
- Largest 24h move
- $200M one day after launch -8%
- 24h volume
- 406
- Liquidity
- 27.1K
Top candidates
8 outcomes
$400M one day after launch
53%
0% 24h
$200M one day after launch
53%
-8% 24h
$600M one day after launch
43%
-5% 24h
$1B one day after launch
28%
+1% 24h
$800M one day after launch
28%
-3% 24h
Show all outcomes
$2B one day after launch
24%
0%
$1.5B one day after launch
16%
0%
$3B one day after launch
14%
-1%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit ( doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Living timeline · 3 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest $400M one day after launch probability of 50%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch moved lower from 29.5% to 16.0% (-13.5 points) between 2026-06-23T18:45:51.582Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:51.582Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch" outcome in "Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?" made a sharp move from 29.5% to 16.0% between 2026-06-23T18:45:51.582Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:51.582Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -13.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.