Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the…
- Current leader
- December 31, 2026 55%
- Largest 24h move
- by June 30 -30%
- 24h volume
- 0
- Liquidity
- 2K
Top candidates
2 outcomes
December 31, 2026
55%
-5% 24h
by June 30
17%
-30% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see:.
A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.
Read the complete resolution rules
Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation. Any qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.
Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
June 30 suspension market drops 6 points over 24 hours
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest December 31, 2026 probability of 56%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshThe market for Trump suspending U.S. entry for more countries by June 30 weakened over June 23-24, with the Polymarket Yes price falling from 22.5% to 16.5%. The only cited context is an NPR morning brief mentioning SCOTUS rulings that may give Trump more power over immigration policy, but this is context rather than a confirmed driver.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
June 30 suspension market drops 6 points over 24 hours
Polymarket’s Yes price for Trump suspending U.S. entry for more countries by June 30 fell from 22.5% to 16.5% between June 23 and June 24, a 6-point move. An NPR morning brief noted SCOTUS rulings giving Trump more power over immigration policy, but that only provides context, not a confirmed cause.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- Polymarket reported a 6.0 point 24h price drop in Yes from 22.5% to 16.5%.
- An NPR morning brief referenced SCOTUS rulings that could increase Trump's power over immigration policy, but no direct causal link is confirmed.
Unresolved questions
- Whether the June 30 suspension action is actually being pursued or is just being priced lower by traders.
- Whether the price move reflects legal/news developments, market positioning, or some other unobserved catalyst.
- Whether any new official announcement or policy step occurred during the June 23-24 window.
People and institutions to watch
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The June 30 child market moved sharply lower over a 24-hour window, with Yes dropping from 0.225 to 0.165. That is a 6.0-point decline from June 23, 2026 19:22:24.866Z to June 24, 2026 19:22:24.866Z. The only supplied news context is an NPR morning brief saying SCOTUS rulings give Trump more power to set immigration policy and that Trump is working to woo struggling American farmers. That may be relevant backdrop for immigration expectations, but the source does not confirm any new suspension action or explain the price move directly. The safest read is that the market repriced lower on broader immigration-policy context rather than on a verified event tied to this specific June 30 deadline.
What changed
Yes odds fell 6.0 points, from 22.5% to 16.5%, over the 24 hours from 2026-06-23T19:22:24.866Z to 2026-06-24T19:22:24.866Z.
What to watch next
Watch for any verified White House proclamation, agency action, court ruling, or credible report that specifically expands or confirms entry suspensions for additional countries before June 30.
Sources
- · feeds.npr.org
Rescuers in Venezuela continue search for the missing after devastating earthquakes, SCOTUS rulings give Trump more power to set immigration policy, Trump works to woo struggling American farmers.
- · feeds.npr.org