activeFinanceStripe not IPO by June 30, 2026 0% 24h

Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

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Current leader
Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026 100%
Largest 24h move
Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026 0%
24h volume
1.2K
Liquidity
66.5K

Top candidates

6 outcomes

Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026

100%

0% 24h

Stripe's market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Stripe's market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Stripe's market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Stripe's market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Stripe's market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves No

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

Read the complete resolution rules

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.

If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026 probability of 100%.

Story so far

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Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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Unresolved questions

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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Living timeline

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