SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v.
- Current leader
- Yes 88%
- Leader 24h
- -0%
- Volume
- 21.8K
- Liquidity
- 1.4K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
Yes
88%
-0% 24h
No
12%
+0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will. If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v.
Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Read the complete resolution rules
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Yes probability of 99%.
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Source trail
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Living timeline