activeGeopoliticsParti Québécois 0% 24h

Quebec General Election Winner

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

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Current leader
Parti Québécois 63%
Largest 24h move
Parti Québécois 0%
24h volume
1.2K
Liquidity
189.8K

Top candidates

6 outcomes

Parti Québécois

63%

0% 24h

Parti libéral du Québec

19%

0% 24h

Coalition Avenir Québec

19%

0% 24h

Parti conservateur du Québec

0%

0% 24h

Québec solidaire

0%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Parti vert du Québec

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

Read the complete resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Parti Québécois probability of 73%.

Story so far

Still building

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

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