Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET.
- Current leader
- December 31, 2026 28%
- Largest 24h move
- December 31, 2026 +3%
- 24h volume
- 14.7K
- Liquidity
- 41.5K
Top candidates
2 outcomes
December 31, 2026
28%
+3% 24h
June 30, 2026
2%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest December 31, 2026 probability of 28%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 21 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026 moved lower from 33.5% to 28.5% (-5.0 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:20.840Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:20.840Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026" outcome in "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?" made a sharp move from 33.5% to 28.5% between 2026-06-23T19:22:20.840Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:20.840Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.