Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Current leader
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch 40%
- Largest 24h move
- Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch -3%
- 24h volume
- 9.5K
- Liquidity
- 118.1K
Top candidates
8 outcomes
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch
40%
+1% 24h
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch
39%
-0% 24h
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch
38%
0% 24h
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch
36%
-3% 24h
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch
22%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch
10%
-1%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch
6%
-0%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch
6%
+0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch probability of 24%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch moved higher from 16.0% to 21.5% (+5.5 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:10.107Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:10.107Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch" outcome in "Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?" made a sharp move from 16.0% to 21.5% between 2026-06-23T19:22:10.107Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:10.107Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.