Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 92%
- Leader 24h
- 0%
- 24h volume
- 80
- Liquidity
- 20.3K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
92%
0% 24h
Yes
9%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Read the complete resolution rules
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 90%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline