New Half-Life game by June 30?
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 95%
- Leader 24h
- 0%
- 24h volume
- 22
- Liquidity
- 646
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
95%
0% 24h
Yes
5%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title.
Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 99%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline