activeElectionsWesley Bell -2% 24h

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.

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Current leader
Cori Bush 63%
Largest 24h move
Wesley Bell -2%
24h volume
308.9
Liquidity
16.9K

Top candidates

2 outcomes

Cori Bush

63%

-1% 24h

Wesley Bell

34%

-2% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Cori Bush probability of 55%.

Story so far

Still building

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

No timeline entries match the current filters.