Maduro guilty of all counts?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V.
- Current leader
- No 80%
- Leader 24h
- -1%
- 24h volume
- 5.9K
- Liquidity
- 4.1K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
80%
-1% 24h
Yes
21%
+6% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (.
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
Read the complete resolution rules
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 79%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline