activeElectionsJabarie Walker -1% 24h

Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

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Current leader
Jamie Davis Jr. 97%
Largest 24h move
Jabarie Walker -1%
24h volume
15
Liquidity
38.7K

Top candidates

5 outcomes

Jamie Davis Jr.

97%

-0% 24h

Gary Crockett

39%

0% 24h

Tracie Burke

0%

0% 24h

Nick Albares

0%

0% 24h

Jabarie Walker

0%

-1% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Gary Crockett market jumps in Louisiana Democratic Senate primary

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Jamie Davis Jr. probability of 98%.

Story so far

Needs a refresh

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

No major update has changed the story in 20 days.

Latest update

Gary Crockett market jumps in Louisiana Democratic Senate primary

Gary Crockett’s Yes odds rose from 0.05% to 38.85% over a 37-minute window on June 24, while supplied sources only provide limited contextual coverage of the race.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Gary Crockett’s market for the Louisiana Democratic Senate nomination saw a sharp move between supplied snapshots, climbing from 0.0005 to 0.3885 between 2026-06-24T18:45:43.582Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:26.196Z. That is a 0.388, or 38.8-point, increase. The provided source set does not confirm a specific catalyst for the move. A WRKF item published earlier on June 24 appears to be contextual race coverage about Louisiana U.S. Senate candidates ahead of a primary runoff, while a Google News RSS item points to a Robinhood prediction-market page dated June 27. Based only on the supplied context, the move is confirmed by the market snapshots, but any link between the odds change and the cited articles remains unproven.

    What changed

    Crockett’s Yes price moved from 0.05% to 38.85%, a 38.8-point surge between the supplied snapshots.

    What to watch next

    Watch for confirmed candidate filings, runoff coverage, endorsements, or updated reporting that could explain whether the move reflected new political information or market mechanics.

    Sources