Los Angeles Mayoral Election
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- Current leader
- Karen Bass 62%
- Largest 24h move
- Karen Bass +2%
- 24h volume
- 82.2K
- Liquidity
- 1.3M
Top candidates
11 outcomes
Karen Bass
62%
+2% 24h
Nithya Raman
37%
-2% 24h
Spencer Pratt
1%
0% 24h
Asaad Alnajjar
0%
0% 24h
Austin Beutner
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Monica Rodriguez
0%
0%
Rick Caruso
0%
0%
Gina Viola
0%
0%
Lindsey Horvath
0%
0%
Rae Huang
0%
0%
Adam Miller
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Karen Bass probability of 66%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline