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Lamar Jackson traded by next season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens is traded to any other team before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season.

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Current leader
No 99%
Leader 24h
-2%
Volume
1.5K
Liquidity
626.4

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

99%

-2% 24h

Yes

1%

+2% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens is traded to any other team before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 2026-2027 NFL regular season will have started once the first snap has taken place in any 2026-2027 NFL regular season game. If Lamar Jackson is released, retires, is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Ravens through the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Baltimore Ravens; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Lamar Jackson trade market plunges after contract-standoff chatter

Odds chart

Probability over time

Odds chart showing latest No probability of 97%.

Story so far

Needs a refresh

No story summary has been written yet.

No major update has changed the story in 20 days.

Latest update

Lamar Jackson trade market plunges after contract-standoff chatter

The Yes side on Lamar Jackson being traded by next season fell sharply over 24 hours, dropping from 19.4% to 1.9%. A Google News/RSS item quoting NFL exec speculation about a possible trade request amid a contract standoff may have reinforced the move, but the price change itself is the confirmed signal.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The market’s Yes outcome for Lamar Jackson being traded by next season moved down hard over a 24-hour window, falling from 0.194 to 0.019, a 17.5-point drop. The movement ran from 2026-06-23T18:45:44.924Z to 2026-06-24T18:45:44.924Z. One matched source, a Google News RSS item titled “NFL execs predict Lamar Jackson trade request amid contract standoff - MSN,” was published during the same period and points to renewed speculation around his contract situation. That source supports the broader context, but it does not confirm a trade or explain the odds move on its own. The only confirmed change here is the market repricing. Any link between the article and the plunge should be treated as correlation, not proven causation.

    What changed

    Yes odds collapsed from 19.4% to 1.9% in a 24-hour span, a 17.5-point drop, while a contemporaneous article amplified trade-request speculation around Jackson.

    What to watch next

    Watch for any actual contract update, extension reporting, or direct team/player statements; those would matter more than speculative coverage for this market.

    Sources