How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Current leader
- between 140-159 launches in 2026 72%
- Largest 24h move
- between 160-179 launches in 2026 -1%
- 24h volume
- 5K
- Liquidity
- 25.1K
Top candidates
7 outcomes
between 140-159 launches in 2026
72%
0% 24h
between 160-179 launches in 2026
9%
-1% 24h
between 180-199 launches in 2026
8%
0% 24h
200 or more launches in 2026
5%
0% 24h
between 120-139 launches in 2026
3%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
between 100-119 launches in 2026
1%
-0%
less than 100 launches in 2026
1%
-0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest between 140-159 launches in 2026 probability of 49%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline