Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
- Current leader
- Platforma Reupblicana "Nô Kumpu Guiné 13%
- Largest 24h move
- PS +25%
- 24h volume
- 32.6
- Liquidity
- 63.2K
Top candidates
6 outcomes
Platforma Reupblicana "Nô Kumpu Guiné
13%
+7% 24h
FLING
8%
+8% 24h
FREPASNA
4%
-0% 24h
PS
3%
+25% 24h
MUNDO-GB
2%
+3% 24h
Show all outcomes
PT
0%
+10%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
Read the complete resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Platforma Reupblicana "Nô Kumpu Guiné probability of 14%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline