activeFinance$3,800-$4,200 in June +4% 24h

What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.

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Current leader
$3,800-$4,200 in June 79%
Largest 24h move
$3,800-$4,200 in June +4%
24h volume
13.7K
Liquidity
154.4K

Top candidates

8 outcomes

$3,800-$4,200 in June

79%

+4% 24h

<$3,800 in June

9%

-1% 24h

$4,200-$4,600 in June

9%

-2% 24h

$4,600-$5,000 in June

1%

0% 24h

$5,400-$5,800 in June

0%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

$5,000-$5,400 in June

0%

0%

>$6,200 in June

0%

0%

$5,800-$6,200 in June

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.

Read the complete resolution rules

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Living timeline · 3 significant updates

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest $3,800-$4,200 in June probability of 100%.

Story so far

Needs a refresh

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

No major update has changed the story in 20 days.

Latest update

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June moved higher from 2.3% to 9.2% (+6.9 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:26.220Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:26.220Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June" outcome in "What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?" made a sharp move from 2.3% to 9.2% between 2026-06-23T19:22:26.220Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:26.220Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +6.9 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.