Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled…
- Current leader
- between 0% and 1.0% 39%
- Largest 24h move
- between 6.0% and 7.0% -1%
- 24h volume
- 66.8
- Liquidity
- 7.3K
Top candidates
9 outcomes
between 0% and 1.0%
39%
+0% 24h
between 1.0% and 2.0%
32%
-1% 24h
less than 0%
13%
+0% 24h
between 2.0% and 3.0%
5%
-0% 24h
between 4.0% and 5.0%
4%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
between 5.0% and 6.0%
3%
0%
at least 7.0%
3%
-1%
between 3.0% and 4.0%
2%
0%
between 6.0% and 7.0%
2%
-1%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Read the complete resolution rules
If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest between 0% and 1.0% probability of 71%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0% moved lower from 29.2% to 1.8% (-27.4 points) between 2026-06-23T18:45:50.191Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:50.191Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%" outcome in "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" made a sharp move from 29.2% to 1.8% between 2026-06-23T18:45:50.191Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:50.191Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -27.4 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.