EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- December 31 15%
- Largest 24h move
- December 31 0%
- 24h volume
- 852.5
- Liquidity
- 32.7K
Top candidates
2 outcomes
December 31
15%
0% 24h
June 30
0%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.
Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest December 31 probability of 12%.
Story so far
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There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
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Living timeline