Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
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- Current leader
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20%
- Largest 24h move
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez -2%
- 24h volume
- 2.6M
- Liquidity
- 81.5M
Top candidates
51 outcomes
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
20%
-2% 24h
Jon Ossoff
16%
+0% 24h
Gavin Newsom
15%
-0% 24h
Kamala Harris
8%
+0% 24h
Pete Buttigieg
5%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Josh Shapiro
5%
-0%
Mark Kelly
3%
-0%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
+0%
Andy Beshear
2%
0%
Ro Khanna
2%
0%
James Talarico
2%
0%
Wes Moore
2%
+0%
J.B. Pritzker
1%
0%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
0%
Jon Stewart
1%
0%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
0%
Michelle Obama
1%
0%
Raphael Warnock
1%
0%
Mark Cuban
1%
0%
Cory Booker
1%
0%
Bernie Sanders
1%
0%
Hunter Biden
1%
0%
Zohran Mamdani
0%
0%
Roy Cooper
0%
0%
John Fetterman
0%
0%
George Clooney
0%
0%
Chelsea Clinton
0%
0%
Stephen A. Smith
0%
0%
Chris Murphy
0%
0%
Gina Raimondo
0%
0%
Jared Polis
0%
0%
Barack Obama
0%
0%
Liz Cheney
0%
0%
LeBron James
0%
0%
MrBeast
0%
0%
Oprah Winfrey
0%
0%
Beto O'Rourke
0%
0%
Jasmine Crockett
0%
0%
Ruben Gallego
0%
0%
Graham Platner
0%
0%
Elissa Slotkin
0%
0%
Tim Walz
0%
0%
Hillary Clinton
0%
0%
Phil Murphy
0%
0%
Andrew Yang
0%
0%
Kim Kardashian
0%
0%
Abigail Spanberger
0%
0%
Hakeem Jeffries
0%
0%
Adam Schiff
0%
0%
Josh Stein
0%
0%
Alex Padilla
0%
0%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Needs a refreshAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s 2028 Democratic nominee odds rose over the last 24 hours, with Polymarket’s yes price moving from 13.65% on July 6 to 16.75% on July 7, 2026. The supplied sources point to renewed 2028 primary coverage, but they do not establish a single confirmed driver.
No major update has changed the story in 52 days.
Latest update
AOC’s 2028 Democratic nominee odds rose 3.1 points over 24 hours
Polymarket’s yes price for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez moved from 13.65% to 16.75% between July 6 and July 7, 2026. The supplied sources show renewed 2028 primary coverage, but they do not confirm a single cause for the move.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- Polymarket-reported market movement was the immediate signal behind the price change.
- Renewed 2028 primary coverage may have contributed, though the supplied sources do not confirm one cause.
Unresolved questions
- Whether the odds move reflects a durable shift or only short-lived attention.
- Which specific news or polling items, if any, were most responsible for the surge.
- Whether later market activity confirms the increase or reverses it.
People and institutions to watch
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s yes probability in the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee market increased by 3.1 points in a 24-hour window, from 13.65% to 16.75%. The move was recorded from 2026-07-06T23:30:05.199Z to 2026-07-07T23:30:05.199Z, alongside a sharp increase in reported volume. The available source set is only partially explanatory: it includes fresh coverage of the 2028 Democratic primary and a prediction-market-focused article, which may have coincided with the shift. However, nothing in the supplied material establishes a confirmed news catalyst, so the relationship should be treated as correlation, not proven causation.
What changed
The market price for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s 2028 Democratic nomination yes share rose from 13.65% to 16.75%, a +3.1 point move over the stated 24-hour window.
What to watch next
Watch whether the higher level holds into the next trading day and whether new polling or primary coverage appears alongside more volume; the supplied sources do not yet confirm a durable driver.
Sources
- · Google News RSS
2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls The New York Times
- · Google News RSS
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds & Prediction Market CryptoSlate
- · Google News RSS
Kamala 2028 Is No Joke The Free Press
- NH poll takes early look at 2028 presidential race. Who’s in the lead? - Seacoastonline.comsearchrelevance 75%· Google News RSS
NH poll takes early look at 2028 presidential race. Who’s in the lead? Seacoastonline.com
- · Google News RSS
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