activeTechDatabricks' market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day +0% 24h

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

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Current leader
Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026 100%
Largest 24h move
Databricks' market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day +0%
24h volume
716.7
Liquidity
83.7K

Top candidates

8 outcomes

Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026

100%

0% 24h

Databricks' market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day

0%

+0% 24h

Databricks' market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Databricks' market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Databricks' market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day

0%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Databricks' market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day

0%

0%

Databricks' market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day

0%

0%

Databricks' market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves No

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

Read the complete resolution rules

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.

If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

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Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026 probability of 100%.

Story so far

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Latest update

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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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Unresolved questions

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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Living timeline

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