What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
- Current leader
- $63-$70 in June 37%
- Largest 24h move
- $63-$70 in June +63%
- 24h volume
- 9.7K
- Liquidity
- 96.2K
Top candidates
8 outcomes
$63-$70 in June
37%
+63% 24h
$70-$77 in June
32%
-60% 24h
$77-$84 in June
14%
-1% 24h
>$84 in June
3%
+1% 24h
$56-$63 in June
3%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
$49-$56 in June
0%
0%
$42-$49 in June
0%
0%
<$42 in June
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
Read the complete resolution rules
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Living timeline · 4 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest $63-$70 in June probability of 99%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June moved lower from 25.5% to 14.5% (-11.0 points) between 2026-06-23T00:00:08.000Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:27.511Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June" outcome in "What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?" made a sharp move from 25.5% to 14.5% between 2026-06-23T00:00:08.000Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:27.511Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -11.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.