activePolitics-2% 24h

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

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Current leader
No 79%
Leader 24h
-2%
24h volume
1.2
Liquidity
8.2K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

79%

-2% 24h

Yes

22%

+2% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

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Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Probability over time

Odds chart showing latest No probability of 91%.

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