activePoliticsthe Democratic Party +3% 24h

CA-13 House Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S.

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Current leader
the Democratic Party 86%
Largest 24h move
the Democratic Party +3%
24h volume
0
Liquidity
18.8K

Top candidates

2 outcomes

the Democratic Party

86%

+3% 24h

the Republican Party

12%

-0% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

Read the complete resolution rules

A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest the Democratic Party probability of 89%.

Story so far

Still building

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

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