Berlin State Election Winner
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Current leader
- CDU 35%
- Largest 24h move
- Grüne -5%
- 24h volume
- 1.1K
- Liquidity
- 238.9K
Top candidates
8 outcomes
CDU
35%
0% 24h
Grüne
22%
-5% 24h
Linke
22%
+1% 24h
AfD
16%
-2% 24h
SPD
8%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
BSW
0%
0%
FDP
0%
0%
FW
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
Read the complete resolution rules
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest CDU probability of 17%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline