Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
- Current leader
- Harry Kane 24%
- Largest 24h move
- Kylian Mbappé -31%
- 24h volume
- 47K
- Liquidity
- 832.1K
Top candidates
25 outcomes
Harry Kane
24%
+19% 24h
Kylian Mbappé
14%
-31% 24h
Lamine Yamal
13%
+18% 24h
Lionel Messi
12%
+4% 24h
Ousmane Dembélé
8%
-10% 24h
Show all outcomes
Michael Olise
7%
-3%
Vitinha
6%
0%
Erling Haaland
3%
+0%
Declan Rice
3%
+0%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
0%
Pedri
1%
-0%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
0%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
0%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
0%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
0%
Luis Diaz
1%
0%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
0%
Desire Doue
0%
0%
Julian Alvarez
0%
0%
Jude Bellingham
0%
0%
Mohamed Salah
0%
0%
Cole Palmer
0%
0%
Raphinha
0%
0%
Federico Valverde
0%
0%
Dominik Szoboszlai
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Harry Kane probability of 48%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline