Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time.
- Current leader
- No 78%
- Leader 24h
- +0%
- 24h volume
- 11.6
- Liquidity
- 1.5K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
78%
+0% 24h
Yes
22%
-0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 79%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline