activeElectionsMary Peltola +2% 24h

Alaska Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S.

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Current leader
Mary Peltola 65%
Largest 24h move
Mary Peltola +2%
24h volume
1.1K
Liquidity
103.9K

Top candidates

5 outcomes

Mary Peltola

65%

+2% 24h

Dan Sullivan

32%

-2% 24h

Dustin Darden

0%

0% 24h

Ann Diener

0%

0% 24h

Richard Grayson

0%

0% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Mary Peltola probability of 60%.

Story so far

Still building

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

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